XRP Forecast 2025: Is a Breakout to $18 or Even $75 Possible Despite Current Dip?
Introduction
XRP, the native token of the Ripple network, is facing heightened volatility as it grapples with a sharp price decline. Over the past week, XRP has dropped over 7%, breaking below key support zones and triggering caution among traders. Despite the recent pullback, several technical and on-chain signals hint that bullish momentum may not be entirely lost.
With predictions ranging from modest gains to explosive growth by 2025, XRP continues to be one of the most watched digital assets in the crypto market. This article breaks down XRP’s current technical situation, key resistance and support levels, and long-term forecasts from top analysts.
XRP Price Drops Below Key Support
Over the past several days, XRP has shown clear signs of weakening. On Friday, the price fell 4.65%, slipping below the crucial support level of $2.23 and now consolidating around $2.15. If XRP fails to reclaim this key zone soon, further downside could bring the asset toward the $1.96 mark, a level last seen during earlier market corrections.
This movement underscores a growing bearish sentiment in the market, with traders increasingly cautious about short-term price action.
Technical Indicators Highlight Selling Pressure
1. Volume Decline Reflects Reduced Market Interest
According to recent data, XRP's 24-hour trading volume has dropped by 37% to approximately $1.51 billion. This sharp decline signals waning enthusiasm in the spot market. Futures volume also shrank by 37.85%, while open interest fell to $3.9 billion, indicating a slowdown in speculative activity.
2. RSI Near Oversold Zone
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 40.82, nearing oversold territory. While this suggests potential for a rebound, there's currently no confirmed reversal pattern, signaling that caution is still warranted for traders.
3. Mixed Moving Averages
Most short-term and medium-term moving averages are pointing toward continued selling pressure. However, the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) remains a beacon of long-term bullish potential, signaling that the broader trend could still be intact if the price finds support.
4. MACD Confirms Bearish Outlook
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) continues to show a bearish crossover, further strengthening the argument for near-term price weakness.
Market Indecision Evident in Candlestick Patterns
The recent price action has formed a “doji” candlestick, a pattern that typically signals market indecision. In XRP’s case, this follows a strong rally, raising concerns that bullish momentum may be stalling. Traders will be closely watching for confirmation in the next few sessions to determine if the current move is just a consolidation or the start of a broader downtrend.
Derivatives Market Still Shows Bullish Sentiment
Despite short-term bearish signals, optimism remains in the derivatives market. On Deribit, call options with strike prices between $2.60 and $3.00 remain popular among traders. The most open interest is seen in calls at $4.00, signaling that many are still betting on a sizable rally in the medium term.
This divergence between spot and derivatives markets suggests that while retail and short-term traders are cautious, institutional or long-term traders continue to hold bullish expectations.
XRP Price Prediction: Can It Rally in 2025?
Bullish Wave Formation Hints at Breakout
Well-known technical analyst Dark Defender recently highlighted that XRP may be forming a new weekly wave pattern, echoing the setup seen in November 2024. According to this pattern, XRP could target levels between $18.22 and $23.20 in the coming months. A key mid-level target stands at $5.85, which could act as both a resistance and breakout point.
Long-Term XRP Forecasts: Mixed But Mostly Bullish
Conservative Forecasts: Some analysts predict XRP could climb to $8–$10 by the end of 2025. This outlook is supported by XRP’s growing institutional appeal, improved regulatory clarity, and integration with cross-border payment networks.
Aggressive Bull Cases: Others envision a much larger rally, with estimates between $25 and $75. These projections are based on a combination of factors:
ETF listings that could attract institutional inflows
Legal clarity following ongoing court developments
Token utility expansion, especially in remittance and banking sectors
Supply constraints if large amounts of XRP are locked in smart contracts or custody solutions
XRP Support and Resistance Levels to Watch
Here are the current key price zones for XRP:
Level Type Importance
$1.96 Support Must hold to prevent deeper losses
$2.15 Current Price Consolidation zone
$2.23 Resistance Key breakout level
$2.27 (50-day EMA) Resistance Short-term target
$5.85 Mid-Term Target Breakout confirmation
$18–$23.20 Long-Term Target Based on wave analysis
$25–$75 Max Bull Target Based on macro scenario
Final Thoughts: Bearish Now, Bullish Later?
In the short term, XRP faces significant pressure. The drop below $2.23 and bearish technical indicators suggest that lower levels could be tested soon. However, long-term fundamentals and optimistic wave structures hint at strong upside potential, particularly into 2025.
Whether XRP reaches $5, $18, or even beyond $70 will depend on a combination of market sentiment, institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and the broader crypto environment. For now, XRP investors should brace for volatility while keeping an eye on macro trends that could signal the next big breakout.
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